Know the probability.
Then decide.
BOTN compares model-led football probabilities with market prices and only surfaces an opportunity when the evidence is strong enough.
Manchester United v Tottenham
Under 3.5 · Saturday 16:30
The model probability is materially above the market-implied probability. Illustrative only — not a live recommendation.
Three numbers. One simple question.
BOTN isn’t trying to predict the future with certainty. It asks whether the current price looks attractive relative to the model’s probability.
Explore the methodology →Built around decisions, not noise.
Each part of BOTN has one job: help you understand what the model sees and keep a clean record of what happened next.
Today
Governed opportunities that clear BOTN’s probability, value and freshness rules.
Explore Today → ↗Pot Builder
Percentage staking that automatically de-risks after losses rather than chasing them.
Try the calculator → ◫Performance
A forward track record that keeps saved picks, backed picks and results separate.
See performance →BOTN can say “nothing today.”
That isn’t a broken screen. It is a feature. If the evidence, price or model validation does not clear the gate, BOTN should stay quiet.
See how percentage staking behaves.
Change the starting pot and stake percentage to see how the next stake adapts after a win or loss. No loss chasing. No guarantees.
Open Pot Builder calculator →Want to be first in?
BOTN isn’t open publicly yet. Join the pre-registration list and we’ll let you know when access widens.